Does Jesus teach that only a small group of Christians will receive the New Birth spoken of in John 3?
Short Answer: No. Jesus makes no distinction between Christians as to whether they will be born again or not. The Watchtower teaches that “see the kingdom of God” has something specifically to do with going to heaven. It doesn’t. The “sheep” are said to (which includes the “great crowd” in WT theology) “inherit the kingdom” (Matt. 25:34). Abraham, Isaac, Jacob, and all the prophets are said to be “in the kingdom of God/Heaven” (Matt. 8:11, Luke 13:28). Therefore, all Christians and old covenant believers will see the kingdom.
Moreover, “born of water and Spirit” is not referring to physical baptism and a special anointing of the Holy Spirit. Rather, Jesus is drawing language from Ezekiel 36:25-27 to speak of a spiritual rebirth, which is why He expects Nicodemus to be familiar with it. Similar language is used by Paul in Titus 3:5. There is simply no good reason for any Christian to be excluded from the New Birth. In fact, it is the spiritual awakening that is required to see the kingdom of God, or more importantly, to be in it.
Long answer:
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